Markov Chain Norris May 2026

The past came flooding back, not as a sequence of independent steps, but as a single, unbearable weight. And he realized his great mistake: a Markov chain is a beautiful abstraction, but a human being is not. A human being carries every previous state, not in the mathematics, but in the marrow.

“Yes,” he said. “That is likely a state with high recurrence.” markov chain norris

“I should have come sooner,” he said. “I should have never stopped.” The past came flooding back, not as a

But on this particular Tuesday, a letter arrived. It was not an email or a text. It was a thick, cream-colored envelope, addressed in a looping, unsteady hand. He sliced it open with a letter opener shaped like a silver die (a gift from a long-ago PhD student). “Yes,” he said

She was asleep when he sat down in the plastic chair beside her. He didn’t know what to do. Markov chains didn’t cover this. There was no transition probability for how to sit with your dying daughter after eleven years of silence .

He was a man who believed in the elegance of forgetting. Not memory loss, but conditional independence : the future should depend only on the present, not the past. It was the central tenet of his life’s work—the Markov chain. And for twenty-three years, he had applied it to everything: the movement of gas molecules, the rise and fall of stock prices, the shuffling of a deck of cards. Even to himself.